COUNTRY CONTEXT IN ARGENTINA
Argentina is currently going through a deep economic crisis, within a complex and fragile
macroeconomic, fiscal and social context that has been deeply aggravated by the pandemic and
the lockdown and confinement measures. Economic activity has been in recession for three years,
with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) falling by 10% in 2020 after a 2.1% decline in 2019 (IMF,
2021). According to International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections, Argentina’s Real GDP will grow
5.8% in 2021, 2.5% in 2022 and 1.5% by 2026 (IMF, 2021). Thus, as the Inter-American Development
Bank (IDB) (2021) states: “the COVID-19 crisis adds to the structural challenges already faced by
the country: returning to a path of economic recovery and improving the circumstances of the
most vulnerable groups after 10 years of very low average growth (average GDP growth in the
2010-2019 period was 1.4%).”
ARGENTINA’S REAL GDP GROWTH (ANNUAL PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
Real GDP growth (Annual percent change)
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: IMF DataMapper. Retrieved from: https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper
Furthermore, Argentina continues to maintain high inflation rates. The inflation rate rose to 34.3%
in 2018 and 53.5% in 2019, standing at 36.1% in 2020. End-year inflation in 2021 is expected to be
around 42% to 46% (IMF, n.d.-a). As a result of the Argentine Central Bank’s decision to again use
monetary emission to finance the Treasury in order to meet the greater financing needs arising
from the pandemic, monetary aggregates showed a significant acceleration. Since November 2019,
assistance to the Treasury has risen by more than USD 25.7 billion, due to increased production
financing needs during the pandemic and the absence of sources of financing. Furthermore, the
government is expected to continue using monetary emission to either partly or fully finance the
deficit (IDB, 2021).
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DFIs FINANCING IN ARGENTINA DURING THE PANDEMIC:
COVID-19 PROJECTS AND TRANSPARENCY SHORTCOMINGS